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  • Understanding the Waves of a Pandemic; The Third Wave of Covid-19 – By Dr Kyei, Mr Arthur-Mensah

Understanding the Waves of a Pandemic; The Third Wave of Covid-19 – By Dr Kyei, Mr Arthur-Mensah

  • Posted by pentvars
  • Categories Health Education, News
  • Date Jun 25, 2021
  • Comments 166 comments

What is a wave?

Since the emergence of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), in December 2019, the COVID-19 has spread throughout the world, and has been described as occurring in several peaks in waves.

The term “wave” as used in infectious disease cycles, is generally used to describe the rising and declining trends of infections over a prolonged period. Naturally, epidemics and/or pandemic infection cases fluctuate by surging and falling intermittently, with a possibility of rising to a peak or declining and/or never to rise again. The wave phenomenon of epidemics and/or pandemics when presented diagrammatically resembles the frequency curves (see Figures 1&2). Several infections are seasonal in nature, and they recur after fixed time intervals.

 

Figure 1: Frequency curve

Source: Encyclopedia Britannica, (2021).

Figure 2: COVID-19 infection rates (Canada)

Source: Encyclopedia Britannica, (2021).

 

The waves of COVID-19

COVID-19 has continued relentlessly for the last eighteen months, but in every geographical area it has affected, there have been periods of surges that have been followed by periods of reduced infections. Infectious disease waves differ across countries, regions, state, and cities and each is distinct in its own science. Concerning the COVID-19 pandemic, some countries have experienced their fourth wave whilst others are yet recovering from their second wave. Typically, such series of waves manifest over different time frames and the epidemics and/or pandemic might not be necessarily over until affected countries, regions, state, and cities have gone through the impact of the wave.

Regarding the COVID-19 pandemic, the first wave referred to the onset of the infection and its primal consequences in populations. It was the period when all clinical cases of infections and diseases, hospital admissions, hospital readmissions, disabilities and deaths were directly linked to COVID-19. Technically, any country that recorded any positive case of COVID-19 experienced the first wave.

The second wave referred to the rise in active cases after the microbiology of the virus and its interaction with man was known and infection prevention and control practices were implemented to limit the spread of the infection. Technically, any country that recorded surges in positive cases of COVID-19 after the implementation of the preventive measures to the virus experienced the second wave.

The third wave is the increase in the number of active cases after the decline in cases from the second wave whose impact is on the social determinants of health. Many factors combine to affect the health of individuals. Whether people are healthy or not, is determined by their individual characteristics and behaviour, their physical environment and their social and economic environment (WHO, 2017). Examples of the physical environment and the social and economic environment of people include their place of residence, state of their environment, income levels, educational levels, unemployment levels, availability of social support services, microeconomic variables, relationships with family and friends etc. However, the major elements include access and use of health care services. The third wave will worsen health inequalities through severe economic injuries. The health impacts caused by this worsening economic recession will be complex especially where health care might just be the benefit of a few. For instance, many hospitals around the globe are already short-staffed and overwhelmed with patients, and some are short on oxygen, forcing a rationing of care. Simply put, the third wave is the increase in infections due to the citizens of a country letting their guard down on the preventive measures of the infections, due to harsh economic situations, which results in pressure and inequalities in health care seeking services where only the able can access health care. Complications of this wave is that, people die not directly from COVID-19, but due to the economic fallout; job losses and other financial pressures that are known from historical recessions to increase physical and mental stress. This wave is not far from many countries.

Based on the ongoing discussion, we ask these questions as a country;

  1. How far is Ghana in its second wave and how well is the country coping?
  2. Is Ghana in its third wave?
  3. Can Ghana experience the third wave and what preparations are in place to meet any such possibilities?

Your response is as good as ours!!!

To prevent the third wave, countries must act now to repair, fix and strengthen their economies. They also need to prioritize access and utilization to basic and specialized health care needs of their citizens else the countries risk continuum into subsequent waves which will impact generations unborn.

The lasting impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, both positive and negative, can be overwhelming, yet the reality of this pandemic is that: the virus has got into everything about our daily lives.

As scientists work around the clock to eliminate the virus, let us continue to act responsibly and adhere to the precautions and preventive measures using the Swiss Cheese respiratory virus intervention model (see Figure 3).

Figure 3: The Swiss Cheese respiratory virus intervention model

Source: www.uihc.org/covid-toolkit

 

By:

Mr. Reginald Arthur-Mensah Jnr & Dr. Abigail Kyei

Department of Nursing and Midwifery, Pentecost University.

 

 

References

Encyclopedia Britannica (Accessed June 17, 2021)

How to stop the COVID-19: The Swiss Cheese model. Retrieved from www.uihc.org/covid-toolkit University of Iowa Health Care. (Accessed June 17, 2021).

WHO, (2017). Determinants of Health. Retrieved from https://www.who.int/news-room/q-a-detail/determinants-of-health (Accessed June 17, 2021).

 

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    166 Comments

  1. JEPHTHAH GYETUAH
    Jun 28, 2021

    This is beautiful
    Well done 👏👏👏

  2. Bosheba David In-G-wet
    Jun 28, 2021

    Good information and has made me remember a letter Albert Einstein wrote about the connection between physics and biology. Now I know one of the connections is wave.
    I really like the questions raised in the write up. This questions has a connection with what the citizens are saying “Fix the Country”. Things will be roughly tough and we would not be able to stand the waves of this disease if the country is not fix.
    Good write up.

  3. Munachi Ngwu
    Jun 28, 2021

    Thanks for this! Hopefully, the health sector would utilize the limited available resources to manage this wave and importantly, prevent a third one. At this point any further decline in the economy would be catastrophic, it seems it already is.

  4. Munachi Ngwu
    Jun 28, 2021

    Thanks for this! Hopefully, the health sector would properly utilize the limited available resources to manage this wave and importantly, prevent a third one. At this point any further decline in the economy would be catastrophic, it seems it already is.

  5. Ama Sena
    Jun 28, 2021

    Good information. Well done 👍

  6. Emmanuella Gawu
    Jun 28, 2021

    Great job 👏

  7. Olekie
    Jun 28, 2021

    Great piece . Thanks for keeping us updated.

  8. Michael Kodi
    Jun 28, 2021

    Waow, water is soft and yet it penetrates mountain 🏔️.
    Let us follow the preventive measures strictly and leave the rest to God through prayers🙏.
    Thank you!

  9. Tilly
    Jun 28, 2021

    Very informative, thank you

  10. Michael Kodi
    Jun 28, 2021

    Great! Water is soft and yet it penetrates mountain 🏔️
    Let us follow the preventive measures strictly and leave the rest to God through prayers🙏

  11. Michael Kodi
    Jun 28, 2021

    Great! Water is soft and yet it penetrates mountain 🏔️
    Let us follow the preventive measures strictly and leave the rest to God through prayers🙏

  12. Priscilla Agyapomah Opoku
    Jun 28, 2021

    Great content, well done

  13. Anonymous
    Jun 28, 2021

    Very educative, these are very important questions that needs to be addressed. Well done sir.

  14. eokwakye2004@yahoo.co.uk
    Jun 28, 2021

    Wonderful insightful by all standards. Good work done

  15. James Danquah Boafo
    Jun 28, 2021

    Thanks for this great masterpiece🙏Prevention is indeed the key

  16. Stephen Sackey
    Jun 28, 2021

    Very educative and insightful. Well done 👌

  17. Agartha Asare
    Jun 28, 2021

    Thanks so much for the update. Its so sad how Ghanaians still don’t believe the pandemic truly exist.May God protect us all.

  18. Anonymous
    Jun 28, 2021

    Great piece💯

  19. Juvena Napari
    Jun 28, 2021

    Good Job. Thanks Soo much for the such an information

  20. Tina Sackey
    Jun 28, 2021

    Very informative. Thanks for keeping us updated . Hmm God help us all 🙏🙏🙏.

  21. Juvena Napari
    Jun 28, 2021

    Good Job. Thanks Soo much for such an information

  22. Juvena Napari
    Jun 28, 2021

    Good Job. Thanks Soo much for such an information. Indeed prevention is the key.

  23. Paulina Dufie Boamah
    Jun 28, 2021

    Very insightful💥
    Great piece👌🏽🌟
    Thanks Mr Reginald and Dr Kyei🤝

  24. Nana Ama Beema Sekyi
    Jun 28, 2021

    Well done much appreciated 👏

  25. Eileen
    Jun 28, 2021

    Thank you so much. I’m hoping everyone would adapt the Swiss cheese respiratory virus intervention model to save the generation.❣️

  26. Sandra Bema Oppong
    Jun 28, 2021

    Very educative. Thank you for this

  27. Malka Boakye
    Jun 28, 2021

    Very educative content. Well done.

  28. Regina Otu-Simpson
    Jun 28, 2021

    Very educative and insightful. From observations made, our beloved country is on its way to the third wave. We pray to God we don’t get there cos most will not survive it.
    Good job to bosses.

  29. Lorie sarfo
    Jun 28, 2021

    Very educative….great job done kudos🤝

  30. Genevieve
    Jun 28, 2021

    Simply put. Hope citizens also contribute their bit by practising the preventive measures and not being complacent. Health workers are being affected badly by this whole thing. Of course, Ghana as a country has been no where near prepared for any of the waves.
    Thanks for sharing. Good job. Keep educating us

  31. Anonymous
    Jun 28, 2021

    Very educative
    Good work done👏🏽

  32. Patience Seiwaa Somuah
    Jun 28, 2021

    Thank you for this great information…Very educative.God bless you

  33. Anonymous
    Jun 28, 2021

    Thank you for this great information…Very educative.God bless you

  34. Anonymous
    Jun 28, 2021

    Insightful and educative🙌🏼

  35. Ivy
    Jun 28, 2021

    Great Job and very educative.thank you

  36. Ivy
    Jun 28, 2021

    Excellent presentation and very educative.thank you and well done

  37. Anonymous
    Jun 28, 2021

    Deep thinking and deep insights. Very well done!! We hope to prevent a third wave.

  38. Mbabila Joseph
    Jun 29, 2021

    Thoughtful and proactive piece, as a people we need to critically ask ourselves these hard questions and genuinely answer them.

  39. Fedieley Joshua
    Jun 29, 2021

    I really needed this information in this time. Very educative with simplicity. Good job and I am proud of this versatile and gifted team. More grace

  40. Efua Afedua Nyameh
    Jun 29, 2021

    This is a call for concern. Our government must sit up and prioritize healthcare now and forever in our country. Well done Dr. Kyei and Mr. Reginald Arthur-Mensah Jnr

  41. Adzo Love
    Jun 29, 2021

    Great. Well done. I pray we all learn and know this covid thing is real. Thanks for the information. Keep it up 👍

  42. Dominic Sefah Donkor
    Jun 29, 2021

    Very educative. Thank you

  43. Kuttin Patrick
    Jun 29, 2021

    Awesome and factual information

  44. Kuttin Patrick
    Jun 29, 2021

    Awesome and factual information.

  45. Nyamekye Wendy
    Jun 29, 2021

    Very educative. Looking forward to more updates on the virus

  46. Bismark
    Jun 29, 2021

    Wow, very educative and informative. Looking forward to receive more updates

  47. Spencer K. B. Mensah
    Jun 29, 2021

    Very enlightening. Thank you.

  48. Akosua
    Jun 29, 2021

    Very educative write up,well done sir and madam.

  49. Akosua
    Jun 29, 2021

    Very educative write up, well done madam and sir.

  50. Solomon
    Jun 29, 2021

    Correctly captured… This is a great write up indeed

  51. Ernestina Tetteh
    Jun 29, 2021

    Very Educative and worth reading

  52. Eunice
    Jun 29, 2021

    Very insightful…
    good work done 👏🏽👏🏽

  53. Diana Nsor
    Jun 29, 2021

    Very educative
    Good work done 👍

  54. Kofi Appiah-Denkyira
    Jun 29, 2021

    Good. A timely caution to all developing countries . Ghana needs to remain focus.

  55. Karen Asiedu
    Jun 29, 2021

    This article is very educative. Good work done

  56. Priscilla Squire
    Jun 29, 2021

    Very important. Every individual has a preventative role to play in reducing the spread.

    Thanks for the education.

  57. Albert Peprah
    Jun 29, 2021

    Thank you enlightening us
    Keep it up 👏👏

  58. Benjamin Asaana.
    Jun 29, 2021

    Thanks so much for the update, we pray that, stakeholders will respond to the critical questions you raised.

  59. Anonymous
    Jun 29, 2021

    Nice piece 👌. Thank you for updating us 😊❤️

  60. Abigail McKeown
    Jun 29, 2021

    Well done 👍

  61. Abigail McKeown
    Jun 29, 2021

    Very educative👍

  62. EOA
    Jun 29, 2021

    Very educative. Good job

  63. Issabella Efua Sey
    Jun 29, 2021

    Very vital information, thank you sir

  64. Anonymous
    Jun 29, 2021

    Very educative

  65. Yvonne Eunice Baah
    Jun 29, 2021

    This is a great write up and should be shared across.

    “For instance, many hospitals around the globe are already short-staffed and overwhelmed with patients, and some are short on oxygen, forcing a rationing of care.”
    With this statement, it will be of great benefit to Ghana as a whole should the personalities or the heads within the health sector are work meticulously to put things in place.

    “Simply put, the third wave is the increase in infections due to the citizens of a country letting their guard down on the preventive measures of the infections, due to harsh economic situations, which results in pressure and inequalities in health care seeking services where only the able can access health care”.
    With this statement as well, I only Pray and hope our economic situation will decline from being harsh to being levelled to meet the needs of all and sundry, especially the health needs of our people.”

    God bless you Dr. Kyei and Mr. Arthur-Mensah for this write-up.

  66. Patricia
    Jun 29, 2021

    Great Job 👍

  67. Alfred
    Jun 29, 2021

    Very Educative. I nkow someone who might want to read this.

  68. Alfred
    Jun 29, 2021

    Very insightful. I hope the the stick holders of the GHS See this write up as i am seeing it. May God helps us all. God write up. Welk Done🙏🏽

  69. Leticia
    Jun 29, 2021

    Very educative, these are questions that has to be addressed by the country . Thank you

  70. Mary
    Jun 29, 2021

    This is a very good writeup. We really have to take good care of ourselves to prevent the third wave.

  71. Anonymous
    Jun 30, 2021

    Great piece 👍

  72. Licia Denkyi
    Jun 30, 2021

    Good job sir keep it up

  73. Juliet Darko
    Jun 30, 2021

    Great job

  74. Claribell Ewura Kinful
    Jun 30, 2021

    Wonderful piece, great insight

  75. Ophelia Mensah
    Jun 30, 2021

    Well done great job

  76. Naana
    Jun 30, 2021

    Nice job done

  77. Adepa
    Jun 30, 2021

    Good work

  78. Ella Ahen
    Jun 30, 2021

    Good work👏

  79. Juliet Darko
    Jun 30, 2021

    Wonderful job . Keep it up.

  80. Anonymous
    Jun 30, 2021

    Good job sir👏👏

  81. Princess Kyei
    Jun 30, 2021

    Good work done

  82. Ofori Naomi
    Jun 30, 2021

    Good job done sir

  83. Anonymous
    Jun 30, 2021

    Very educative great job done

  84. Ebenezer Hammond
    Jun 30, 2021

    Nice piece.📚👍God bless you 🙏🏾

  85. Anonymous
    Jun 30, 2021

    Great job👍👌

  86. Selina
    Jun 30, 2021

    Very educative great job done

  87. Gina Mawusi
    Jun 30, 2021

    Good job sir 👏👏

  88. Rita Danso
    Jun 30, 2021

    Great work done

  89. Anonymous
    Jun 30, 2021

    Wow, thanks for the information

  90. JStel
    Jun 30, 2021

    Good write up. Very educative..

  91. Derrick
    Jun 30, 2021

    Thanks alot for the knowledge…very informative

  92. Afia
    Jun 30, 2021

    Great job 👍👍

  93. Anonymous
    Jul 1, 2021

    Great job and thanks very much for such an educative information 👏👏👏

  94. Derrick Donkor
    Jul 1, 2021

    Great work done. Thank you

  95. David Yankah
    Jul 1, 2021

    Very educative, these are very important questions that needs to be addressed Ayekoo sir Regi and Doc.
    Your works need to be recommended and awarded

  96. Fatawu Hassan
    Jul 2, 2021

    Great job 👍 very insightful, we now have a better and simple understanding of the “waves” we always hear about

  97. Athlee
    Jul 2, 2021

    Thanks for the information sir

  98. Nate
    Jul 2, 2021

    Insightful analysis🤝

  99. Nate
    Jul 2, 2021

    Insightful analysis🤝

  100. Chukwuemeka Chiamaka
    Jul 2, 2021

    Bravo!!
    Very Educative.

  101. Michael Azubila Ayambire
    Jul 3, 2021

    I have learned a lot from your write up.
    Hoping to see more of this from you sir.
    Thank you.

  102. Albert
    Jul 3, 2021

    Very educative

  103. Abigail Amponsah Boateng
    Jul 3, 2021

    Impressive. Very informative
    Keep up the good work

  104. Vicky Nketia
    Jul 3, 2021

    Very educative and insightful.

  105. Atido Pius Mensah
    Jul 3, 2021

    Wow. This is very educative. Thanks for such enlightenment. Kudos.

  106. Anonymous
    Jul 3, 2021

    Very informative. Great job👏👏

  107. Gbolo Deborah selorm
    Jul 3, 2021

    This is very interesting and informative workpiece… keep doing the good work!!,.. God bless and your team…I must say I’m very much impressed….Ayekooo!!!!

  108. Nana Adwoa N. Addo
    Jul 3, 2021

    Great job! This is very informative and educative.
    More grace to do more.

  109. Adomba Lucky
    Jul 3, 2021

    Thank you for this insightful masterpiece. May God intervene and cause this pandemic to go on an extinction.

  110. Priscilla kamasah
    Jul 3, 2021

    Great job. Very educative and insightful
    Thanks so much for sharing.

  111. Assibu Jacqueline Assibuabah
    Jul 5, 2021

    Splendid! 👏🏼👏🏼

  112. Anonymous
    Jul 6, 2021

    Such a great piece
    Keep up this wonderful work 🤝

  113. Addai Emmanuel Kyere
    Jul 8, 2021

    Good write up

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